20/04/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Kiruna FF vs Umea FC Akademi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
23%
Draw
20%
25%
Away Win
17%
41%
Under 2.5
36%
59%
Over 2.5
64%
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
46%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kiruna FF v Umea FC Akademi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kiruna FF
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Umea FC Akademi
EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
1.39/0.83
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.78
-39%
/
+38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-42%
/
+22%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
4
407 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Kiruna FF vs Umea FC Akademi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kiruna FF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Umea FC Akademi
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
24.09.2022
Umea FC Akademi
1-2
HT 0-1
Kiruna FF
İSÇ4
Kiruna FF
İSÇ4
POST-MATCH
Kiruna FF vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kiruna FF saw off Umea FC Akademi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kiruna FF as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kiruna FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
Kiruna FF 2-0 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kiruna FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kiruna FF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kiruna FF 52%, draw 23%, Umea FC Akademi 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiruna FF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kiruna FF)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
20 Apr 2024