Bergdalens 1-3 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jonsereds IF beat Bergdalens 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bergdalens at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF?

Bergdalens 1-3 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergdalens win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 45%, draw 25%, Jonsereds IF 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bergdalens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergdalens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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