Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.81/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.00
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.08.2020 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK and Vanersborgs IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 38%, draw 28%, Vanersborgs IF 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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