20/04/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
28%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
38%
39%
Under 2.5
41%
61%
Over 2.5
59%
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
42%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vanersborgs FK v Vanersborgs IF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vanersborgs FK
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vanersborgs IF
EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
1.81/2.05
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.45/1.00
-1%
/
-27%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-73%
/
+52%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
8
294 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
434 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.7
Yellow Cards
–
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vanersborgs FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Vanersborgs IF
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
28.08.2020
Vanersborgs FK
1-2
HT 1-0
Vanersborgs IF
İSÇ4
1-2
HT 1-0
Vanersborgs IF
İSÇ4
POST-MATCH
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vanersborgs FK and Vanersborgs IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?
Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 38%, draw 28%, Vanersborgs IF 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
20 Apr 2024