Stenungsund 0-0 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.88/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.78
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
01.10.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-2 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-2 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund and Ahlafors IF played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stenungsund and 2.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF?

Stenungsund 0-0 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 36%, draw 26%, Ahlafors IF 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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