FK Karlskrona 3-0 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.37
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Berga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
31.05.2024 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
13.10.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 2-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
16.06.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
17.09.2022 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
20.11.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
11.09.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona ran out comfortable winners over IFK Berga 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Karlskrona and 0.83 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs IFK Berga?

FK Karlskrona 3-0 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 58%, draw 23%, IFK Berga 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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