IFK Berga 1-2 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 May 2024

IFK Berga
1-2 HT 0-1
FK Karlskrona
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

IFK Berga vs FK Karlskrona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
32%
+12.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Berga v FK Karlskrona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 46%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
2.13/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.32
+39% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

IFK Berga vs FK Karlskrona Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Berga
1W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
The Meetings
13.10.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 2-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
16.06.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
17.09.2022 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
20.11.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
11.09.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Berga vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona nicked a narrow win over IFK Berga 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Berga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for IFK Berga and 1.40 for FK Karlskrona.

What was the final score of IFK Berga vs FK Karlskrona?

IFK Berga 1-2 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Berga vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Berga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IFK Berga 45%, draw 25%, FK Karlskrona 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Berga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Berga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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