Karlshamn 4-0 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 34%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
0.82/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.82
-57% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nosaby IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.11.2021 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 2-1 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
06.10.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
08.08.2020 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 4-0 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn swept aside Nosaby IF 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Karlshamn made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karlshamn and 1.67 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Nosaby IF?

Karlshamn 4-0 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 36%, draw 24%, Nosaby IF 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nosaby IF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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