Enköpings SK 2-1 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enköpings SK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.01/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.90
-48% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
389 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enköpings SK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jarfalla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.08.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-1 HT 1-1 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK İSÇ4
10.07.2021 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK 1-1 HT 1-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enköpings SK
2-1
AWAY Jarfalla
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Enköpings SK vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enköpings SK edged past Jarfalla 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enköpings SK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Enköpings SK had 58% of the ball to Jarfalla's 42%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jarfalla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Enköpings SK and 1.50 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Enköpings SK vs Jarfalla?

Enköpings SK 2-1 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enköpings SK vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enköpings SK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Enköpings SK 47%, draw 29%, Jarfalla 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enköpings SK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enköpings SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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