IFK Kumla 4-1 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.63/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.87
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.04.2022 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
28.11.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 3-1 HT 2-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
18.09.2021 IFK Kumla 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla cruised past Stenungsund 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; IFK Kumla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.33 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Stenungsund?

IFK Kumla 4-1 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 40%, draw 25%, Stenungsund 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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