Simrishamn 1-2 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.78/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.29
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simrishamn
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Balkan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Balkan Balkan 1-2 HT 0-1 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇK
08.09.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-0 HT 1-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
13.05.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 4-1 HT 2-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Simrishamn vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balkan squeezed past Simrishamn 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Simrishamn at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Simrishamn had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Simrishamn and 1.67 for Balkan.

What was the final score of Simrishamn vs Balkan?

Simrishamn 1-2 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simrishamn vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simrishamn win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Simrishamn 49%, draw 20%, Balkan 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Simrishamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Simrishamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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