Bergnäsets 1-0 Ytterhogdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.29/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.32
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ytterhogdal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-1 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 2-3 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-3 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
13.11.2021 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
04.09.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Ytterhogdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets nicked a narrow win over Ytterhogdal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bergnäsets and 1.80 for Ytterhogdal.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Ytterhogdal?

Bergnäsets 1-0 Ytterhogdal in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Ytterhogdal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 42%, draw 25%, Ytterhogdal 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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