Badalona (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.39/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
-47% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
12.9 Crosses 21.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 0.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
289 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
21.09.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
0.88 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
211 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Badalona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 47% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.88 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Badalona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Badalona (K) and 1.00 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
11 Oct 2025
13:00 Granada (K) vs Real Sociedad (K) Analysis →
17:30 Espanyol (K) vs Alhama (K) Analysis →
20:00 Deportivo (K) vs Logrono (K) Analysis →