Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.37
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
33%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
69%
-35.4pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.7pp
33%
Away Win
13%
+20.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.63/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.25
+6% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
21.0 Crosses 8.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-1
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.86 xG 2.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
431 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) squeezed past Badalona (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Madrid CFF (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 61% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 39%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.86 to 2.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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