Barcelona (K) 2-0 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.11
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.68
Over 2.5
50%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.5pp
33%
Draw
9%
+24.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
24%
+26.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
76%
-26.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+93% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
54.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
41.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.83 xG 0.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
527 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2020 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
2-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
3.40 xG 0.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
29 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
567 Passes 307
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
70 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) beat Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 62% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 38%, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 3.40 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Barcelona (K) 2-0 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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