Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Tenerife (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.42
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
66%
-32.7pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.5pp
33%
Away Win
14%
+19.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.87/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.75
+25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
27.0 Crosses 11.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2-1
AWAY Tenerife (K)
2.83 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
321 Passes 206
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) squeezed past Tenerife (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 58% of the ball to Tenerife (K)'s 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.83 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Tenerife (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Tenerife (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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