Mainz 05 II 2-0 Balingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
50%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Balingen EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +22%
1.61/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.55
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Balingen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Balingen Balingen 2-3 HT 0-2 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
15.08.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Balingen Balingen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 1-2 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
13.05.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-2 HT 2-1 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Balingen Balingen 0-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Balingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II beat Balingen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.33 for Balingen.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Balingen?

Mainz 05 II 2-0 Balingen in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Balingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 58%, draw 18%, Balingen 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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