Orsha 0-2 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
9.57
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
80%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
7%
+0.2pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.1pp
80%
Away Win
79%
+1.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.87/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.01/1.02
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
224 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 531 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Baranovichi
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Orsha Orsha 4-0 HT 1-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
03.09.2023 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
06.11.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
22.08.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-3 HT 0-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
06.06.2021 Orsha Orsha 2-1 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
0-2
AWAY Baranovichi
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi beat Orsha 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baranovichi as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 42% of the ball to Baranovichi's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Orsha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Orsha and 0.40 for Baranovichi.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Baranovichi?

Orsha 0-2 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Orsha 7%, draw 13%, Baranovichi 80%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baranovichi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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