Orsha 4-0 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.29
Over 2.5
38%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
40%
+22.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
60%
-22.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.96/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.50
-40% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Baranovichi
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
06.11.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
22.08.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-3 HT 0-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
06.06.2021 Orsha Orsha 2-1 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
4-0
AWAY Baranovichi
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha swept aside Baranovichi 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Orsha made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 62% of the ball to Baranovichi's 38%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orsha had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Orsha and 0.50 for Baranovichi.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Baranovichi?

Orsha 4-0 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Orsha 33%, draw 32%, Baranovichi 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Baranovichi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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