Lida 0-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lida EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.30/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.39
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lida
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2-3 HT 1-2 Lida Lida BLR1
15.07.2023 Lida Lida 0-3 HT 0-2 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lida
0-1
AWAY Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lida vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 squeezed past Lida 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lida had 50% of the ball to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lida and 2.50 for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4.

What was the final score of Lida vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4?

Lida 0-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lida vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lida 35%, draw 31%, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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