Lokomotiv Gomel 4-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.45/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.53
-3% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
03.10.2021 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
17.07.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 5-2 HT 1-0 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
4-1
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs Shakhtyor Petrikov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel cruised past Shakhtyor Petrikov 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Gomel as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Gomel had 55% of the ball to Shakhtyor Petrikov's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 1.00 for Shakhtyor Petrikov.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Lokomotiv Gomel 4-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 61%, draw 21%, Shakhtyor Petrikov 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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