Athletic Club 1-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
27.2 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Goias
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.87 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 188
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.06.2025 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Club BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-1
AWAY Goias
0.84 xG 2.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
182 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 29
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and Goias couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Club had 43% of the ball to Goias's 57%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.84 to 2.08.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Goias?

Athletic Club 1-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 37%, draw 29%, Goias 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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