Hwaseong 1-0 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.77
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
16%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.68
+40% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cheongju FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
15.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-0
AWAY Cheongju FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
432 Passes 353
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong edged past Cheongju FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 55% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hwaseong had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC?

Hwaseong 1-0 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 39%, draw 30%, Cheongju FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
11 Oct 2025
08:00 Gimpo Citizen vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →