Tochigi City 3-0 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.84/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 10.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
55 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 11
21.06.2025 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 1-1 Tochigi City Tochigi City JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
3-0
AWAY Nara Club
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 486
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City swept aside Nara Club 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tochigi City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Tochigi City had 40% of the ball to Nara Club's 60%, shots finished 17-16.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Nara Club?

Tochigi City 3-0 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 56%, draw 24%, Nara Club 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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