Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 11 Oct 2025

Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1 HT 0-1
Kagoshima United
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Giravanz Kitakyushu v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.17
-36% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.5 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kagoshima United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
209 Passes 191
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.03.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
26.08.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
21.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JPK
04.05.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
19.09.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
02.07.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
334 Passes 177
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kagoshima United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 61% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 39%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.50 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 32%, draw 26%, Kagoshima United 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kagoshima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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