Warta Poznan 3-2 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2025

Warta Poznan
3-2 HT 1-1
Olimpia Grudziadz
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Grudziadz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.8pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Warta Poznan v Olimpia Grudziadz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 38%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.61
+47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Grudziadz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POLK
06.06.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
31.08.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 1-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
10.07.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan HAZ
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Warta Poznan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Olimpia Grudziadz led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.50 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Warta Poznan 3-2 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 38%, draw 28%, Olimpia Grudziadz 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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