Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.16/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.91
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kalisz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
07.06.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
10.11.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
10.11.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
13.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0-1
AWAY Kalisz
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Kalisz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 53% of the ball to Kalisz's 47%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 0.83 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 36%, draw 23%, Kalisz 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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