Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Nov 2024

Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 HT 0-1
Weston-super-Mare
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.71
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hemel Hempstead Town v Weston-super-Mare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.19/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
248 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.08.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON

Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Weston-super-Mare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 49% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 51%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.50 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 32%, draw 26%, Weston-super-Mare 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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