Taranto 1-0 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 60%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.54/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.31
-39% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
02.10.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
19.02.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
18.10.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
1-0
AWAY Audace Cerignola
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto nicked a narrow win over Audace Cerignola 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Taranto had 33% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 67%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Taranto and 0.00 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Audace Cerignola?

Taranto 1-0 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Taranto 22%, draw 26%, Audace Cerignola 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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