Padova Calcio vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Padova Calcio v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Padova Calcio vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Novara
İTC
1-3
HT 0-1
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-2
HT 0-1
Novara
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Novara
nan
1-0
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
nan
Padova Calcio 2-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio squeezed past Novara 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Padova Calcio had 52% of the ball to Novara's 48%, shots finished 18-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.67 for Novara.
What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Novara?
Padova Calcio 2-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 52%, draw 26%, Novara 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.