Al Khor 3-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 45%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.62/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.23
-2% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.21 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
211 Passes 449
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Al Khor Al Khor 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
10.02.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.12.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KATYK
15.11.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
26.10.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
08.03.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khor
3-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Al Khor vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khor swept aside Al Gharafa 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Khor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Khor had 54% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Khor and 2.50 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Khor vs Al Gharafa?

Al Khor 3-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khor vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Khor 42%, draw 26%, Al Gharafa 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Khor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Khor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KATYK More Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup
11 Nov 2024
17:30 Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah Analysis →