Envigado 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Nov 2024

Envigado
1-0
Deportivo Cali
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Envigado vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.20/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.2 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Envigado vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.45 xG 1.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
03.08.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-3 HT 0-2 Envigado Envigado KOL
06.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
03.10.2021 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
30.01.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
11.11.2020 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Envigado 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
29% Ball Possession 71%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
110 Passes 401
60% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado edged past Deportivo Cali 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Envigado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 29% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 71%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportivo Cali?

Envigado 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 38%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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