La Equidad 2-2 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.99/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.01
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +83%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
16.9 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 Passes 221
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.10.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
26.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.09.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
29.03.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
28.07.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.25 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
271 Passes 297
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
3 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad and Deportivo Pasto couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 52%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.25 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Deportivo Pasto?

La Equidad 2-2 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 30%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pasto 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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