Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
La Equidad
KOL
2-3
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
La Equidad
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-2
HT 0-2
La Equidad
CON CSA
Deportivo Pasto 2-3 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
La Equidad nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day La Equidad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 35% of the ball to La Equidad's 65%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.32 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.17 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?
Deportivo Pasto 2-3 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 37%, draw 27%, La Equidad 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.