Boyaca Chico 1-2 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.05/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.02
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.1 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
17.04.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.11.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.08.2018 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
18.02.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
17.10.2015 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
1-2
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.69 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
256 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas squeezed past Boyaca Chico 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Aguilas Doradas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 45% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 55%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.69 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.50 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas?

Boyaca Chico 1-2 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 39%, draw 32%, Aguilas Doradas 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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