Roma (K) 0-1 Valerenga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.43
Over Pick
69%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.6
No
31%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
14%
4.87
2-3
35%
1.93
4-5
32%
2.65
6+
19%
6.7
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
58%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
38%
-6.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
62%
+6.1pp
69%
BTTS Yes
58%
+10.3pp
31%
BTTS No
42%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga (K) The Market 23%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.57/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.44
-25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
0-1
AWAY Valerenga (K)
1.11 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
425 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Valerenga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) nicked a narrow win over Roma (K) 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Roma (K) carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma (K) had 57% of the ball to Valerenga (K)'s 43%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.69 — on chances, Roma (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Roma (K) 0-1 Valerenga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 60%, draw 20%, Valerenga (K) 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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