St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 0-6 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away Pick
72%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.03
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
13%
12.8
2-3
44%
2.93
4-5
18%
2.25
6+
25%
2.6
Value flag · 2-3 at 2.93 — our 44% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
53%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Chelsea (K) win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+7.3pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 97%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.72/3.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.54
+20% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
244 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 85%
8.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 49.8
6.9 Crosses 30.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0-6
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.02 xG 5.61
25% Ball Possession 75%
1 Total Shots 43
1 Shots on Target 19
0 Corners 8
197 Passes 720
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
1 Box Touches 75
0 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) ran out comfortable winners over St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 25% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 75%, shots finished 1-43, expected goals 0.02 to 5.61.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 0-6 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 16%, draw 13%, Chelsea (K) 72%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
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