Hull City 1-1 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Dec 2024

Hull City
1-1 HT 0-0
Watford
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Hull City vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.33
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
17%
5.12
X/2
9%
6.09
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hull City v Watford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.1 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hull City vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Watford
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
02.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
22.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
11.12.2022 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
22.04.2017 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNP
29.10.2016 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNP

Hull City 1-1 Watford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-1
AWAY Watford
1.53 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
281 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Watford shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hull City had 42% of the ball to Watford's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.53 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hull City and 0.50 for Watford.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Watford?

Hull City 1-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hull City 41%, draw 27%, Watford 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5
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