Millwall 0-1 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Dec 2024

Millwall
0-1 HT 0-1
Sheffield United
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Millwall vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.43
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
10%
3.83
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
9%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 5.43 — our 22% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +19%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.15
-3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
21.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Millwall vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 322
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Millwall Millwall 3-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
07.01.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK
06.08.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.02.2022 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.10.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
25.01.2020 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK

Millwall 0-1 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-1
AWAY Sheffield United
1.02 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
272 Passes 397
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Millwall had 44% of the ball to Sheffield United's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.02 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 1.50 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Sheffield United?

Millwall 0-1 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 41%, draw 26%, Sheffield United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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