Shire Endaselassie 1-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.4pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 31%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.75
-100% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shire Endaselassie
1-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shire Endaselassie squeezed past Mekelle Kenema 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shire Endaselassie found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shire Endaselassie had 41% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 59%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelle Kenema?

Shire Endaselassie 1-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shire Endaselassie win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Shire Endaselassie 34%, draw 33%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/33/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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