Mekelakeya 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
19%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.0pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 30%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.39/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.66
+130% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +69%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-2 HT 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
01.12.2023 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 HT 0-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
0-0
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya and Ethiopian Insurance fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 50% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 50%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mekelakeya and 1.00 for Ethiopian Insurance.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Mekelakeya 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 40%, draw 32%, Ethiopian Insurance 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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