Malavan FC 1-2 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
6.84
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.3pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.25/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.54
+87% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
12.04.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
29.10.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
06.04.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 3-0 HT 2-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
20.10.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis squeezed past Malavan FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Malavan FC and 1.25 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Persepolis?

Malavan FC 1-2 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 25%, draw 32%, Persepolis 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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