Persepolis 1-0 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.74/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.23
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Malavan FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.10.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
06.04.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 3-0 HT 2-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
20.10.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis edged past Malavan FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persepolis and 0.00 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Malavan FC?

Persepolis 1-0 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 53%, draw 29%, Malavan FC 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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