Sepahan 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

Sepahan
0-0 HT 0-0
Nassaji Mazandaran
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒17:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.43
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepahan v Nassaji Mazandaran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.95/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.04
+18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
26.01.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
18.08.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
11.03.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
29.11.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
22.04.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan and Nassaji Mazandaran fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sepahan at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sepahan and 0.50 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Sepahan 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 67%, draw 18%, Nassaji Mazandaran 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sepahan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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