Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
12%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.65/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.95
-44% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.10.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Foolad Khuzestan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Shams Azar Qazvin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 36%, draw 28%, Foolad Khuzestan 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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