Aluminium Arak 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.41
Over 2.5
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.9pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.1pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.4pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 60%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
0.52/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.37
-18% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +60%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
15.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
07.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.10.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
19.05.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan squeezed past Aluminium Arak 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.83 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Aluminium Arak 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 17%, draw 37%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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