Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esteghlal Khuzestan v Aluminium Arak — Team-Based Signals
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Aluminium Arak
IRAN
1-0
HT 0-0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
IRAN
0-1
HT 0-0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
IRAN
0-0
HT 0-0
Aluminium Arak
IRAN
0-0
HT 0-0
Aluminium Arak
IRAN
1-1
HT 0-1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
IRAN
Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Aluminium Arak 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.33 for Aluminium Arak.
What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?
Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 30%, draw 29%, Aluminium Arak 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.