Nassaji Mazandaran 0-3 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.71
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3 Corners 4
16.08.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
10.08.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
19.01.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
12.08.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
09.05.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-2 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.12.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-2 HT 0-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan ran out comfortable winners over Nassaji Mazandaran 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 36% / 34% — and on the day Mes Rafsanjan made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 1.17 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Nassaji Mazandaran 0-3 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 30%, draw 36%, Mes Rafsanjan 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
21 Feb 2024
14:00 Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Paykan Qazvin Analysis →
15:30 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak Analysis →
16:45 Persepolis vs Tractor FC Analysis →