Tractor FC 1-4 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 37% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.21/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.79
-7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zob Ahan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
27.10.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
27.01.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-3 HT 1-2 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
19.08.2022 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
14.05.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
29.12.2021 Tractor FC Tractor FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
30.06.2021 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan swept aside Tractor FC 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Zob Ahan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tractor FC and 0.67 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Zob Ahan?

Tractor FC 1-4 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 40%, draw 33%, Zob Ahan 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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