Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.2
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.71/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
+36% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sanat Naft
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
16.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
10.08.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-3 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
05.05.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
25.12.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
11.03.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
29.11.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Sanat Naft 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.33 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 50%, draw 30%, Sanat Naft 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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