Al Hazm 3-1 Al Jubail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒15:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.95
Over
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.22/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.35
+26% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
3-1
AWAY Al Jubail
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Jubail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm got the better of Al Jubail 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hazm as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hazm had 50% of the ball to Al Jubail's 50%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Jubail?

Al Hazm 3-1 Al Jubail in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Jubail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 52%, draw 25%, Al Jubail 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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